Application Portfolio Management (APM) Best Practices - Forecast cloud and SaaS spend at the application and portfolio level
Application Portfolio Management (APM) Best Practices
Forecast cloud and SaaS spend at the application and portfolio level
Overview
Cloud and SaaS spending grows organically with organizational activity, application changes, and new tool adoptions in ways that are difficult to predict without explicit forecasting discipline based on current usage trends and known planned changes. Organizations that do not forecast cloud and SaaS spending at the application and portfolio level consistently experience budget overruns, because the growth in variable cloud and SaaS consumption exceeds the budget allocations that were made without reference to actual usage trajectories. The overruns are discovered at the end of the budget period rather than at the beginning when they could have been addressed through proactive governance action.
Best Practice
Establish a cloud and SaaS spend forecasting process that produces application-level and portfolio-level spending projections for each budget period and reviews them against actual spending throughout the period. Base the forecast on current spending trends with trend analysis, planned application changes including new deployments, migrations, retirements, and rationalization actions, known contract renewals and any planned tier changes, and planned organizational growth or contraction that will affect consumption. Review the forecast against actual spending monthly, update it when significant variances emerge or when planned changes are added or removed, and use the updated forecast as an early warning system for spending trends that are diverging from budget expectations before the divergence becomes a budget overrun.
Benefit(s)
Reliable cloud and SaaS spending forecasts prevent budget overruns by making spending trajectories visible before they exceed budget thresholds rather than after. Budget allocations are more accurate because they are grounded in usage trend analysis and known change plans rather than prior year actuals plus an arbitrary percentage increase. Variance analysis is more actionable because the forecast provides a current expectation against which actual spending is compared rather than a static budget that may reflect conditions that have changed significantly since it was set. The organization develops cloud and SaaS financial planning capabilities that are proportionate to the materiality and variability of these spending categories in the total technology budget.
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